Trade Breakdown: Kevin Hotter to Kings

This is the seventh installment in our series that analyzes the key trades of the 2022 season. As opposed to giving grades, this series will explore Why The teams were excited to take action. Let’s dive into a deal between hawks And the kings


The day after the free agency began, the Hawks family agreed to send Kevin Huerter For kings in exchange for Justin HolidayAnd the Maurice Harkless, the 2024 first round kings selection (top 14 reserve). If the selection is not moved immediately, the top 12 will be protected in 2025 and the top 10 will be protected in 2026. If their hands have not changed hands up to that point, the Falcons will instead receive two rounds of the second round.

Kings perspective:

after handling Therese Halliburton To Indiana on Deadline Trade vs. All-Stars Twice Dumantas Sabonisthe Kings indicated that they were gathering around two Dynamic Playmakers (the other being Diaron Fox), each of them has a clear hole in their offensive ammunition: three-point shooting. Both lefts have nearly identical occupational pedigrees from behind the bow, with Fox 32.0% and Sabonis 31.9%.

Modern NBA offenses thrive with proper spacing, so surrounding the duo with shooters was crucial. Sacramento was only 25 years oldThe tenth In the league with three points, 21Street In three-point attempts, 24The tenth In the three-point percentage last season (34.4%).

Enter Huerter, who averaged 12.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG and 2.7 APG in 74 games in 2021/22 (60 starts, 29.6 mpg). A look at his shooting numbers reveals that Huerter was an above-average scorer from across the field, with a true shooting percentage of 57% (58).The tenth percentage), 62% at the edge (57The tenth percentage), 48% of the middle range (88%), 38.9% of the three-point range (82second abbreviation percentile), and 80.8% of the line (64The tenth percentage), per DunksAndThreees.com.

Huerter’s 21/22 stats are quite similar to his career marks of 11.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG and 3.2 APG in 274 games (216 starts, 29.6 mpg), so consistent production year-to-year has been a strong selling point for the Ranger shooting . He shot between 38.0% and 38.9% in depth for three of his four seasons, with a career mark of 37.9%. He’s fought particularly well from corners, with a career mark of 43.1%, including 44.9% last season.

6’7 Hurter fits well into the schedule for Fox (24) and Sabonis (26), as he turns 24 next month (Davion Mitchell He turns 24 in September, monk owner She is also 24 years old, and she is the number one Keegan Murray 21). He’s also under contract for another four years, so he could become a staple at the club for several seasons.

Although he is mostly known for his shooting prowess, the Huerter is a solid subcompact as well, with a professional assist-to-turn ratio of 2.38 to 1. He is a highly efficient passer and shows above-average sighting for two guards. This should be beneficial to Kings, who were only 22 years oldsecond abbreviation in the league last season.

Huerter has proven to be a low-potential player in the NBA, and I mean that as a compliment. Being among the top 150 or so players in the best league in the world is not an easy task, and Hurter is in that group. Even ending up on the bench with the Kings, he has shown that he needs to be taken into consideration at this level and that he will be one of the best reserves in the league.

Huerter has two primary weaknesses. For example, he is sometimes very passive on attack and avoids contact, which is why he has attempted less than one free throw per game in his career at nearly 30 minutes per competition, which is a very poor rate. Which in turn is why his real shot percentage has been above the league average only once in his career (last season), despite the fact that he’s a solid shooter.

The second weakness is that he is a slightly below average defender. He’s just a good rebel, he’s skinny and can be pushed even though he’s tall for his position. Huerter is by no means a liability, like some other shooting specialists, but he is not a positive either.

It’s the least charming finish on the field as I don’t like the deal of the Kings, who only ranked 27The tenth In the league in the defensive classification last season. In fairness to them, they needed help in basically every area, and Huerter is certainly a better player than Holiday or Harkless, but not in defence.

New coach Mike Brown He built his career on being a strong defensive tactician, but he can only do so much with the roster. This will continue to be an issue next season for Sacramento, as Fox and Sabonis aren’t exactly a defensive stop, nor Monk, who was taken over by the team on free agency to boost his shot.

Holiday struggled in his short stint with the Kings, making up only 34.8% of field runs in 25 games (he was also part of the Sabonis trade), and Harkless was completely out of duty by the end of the season. Both players are much older than Hutter (Holiday is 33 and Harkless is 29), and neither were in Sacramento’s long-term plans, so their transfer wasn’t a huge loss even though they both had long careers for good reasons.

Perspective of the hawk:

Let’s get this out of the way first: Atlanta wasn’t necessarily Wants for Huerter Trading. Hawks fans will fondly remember his performance in 7 . game From the team’s second-round victory over the Sixers in 2021, when Hotter scored 27 points, seven rebounds, and three assists in a 10 of 18 shot, helping Atlanta reach the Eastern Conference Finals for only the second time in the past 50 years.

Moving Huerter’s company was a short-term and long-term financial decision. A four-year extension of the $65 million junior metric he signed just before 21/22 kicks off the following season, trading for Dignity Murray Push the team into the luxury tax district.

The Falcons already have long-term salaries committed to it Tra YoungAnd the John Collins And the Clint Capella; Murray and Bogdan Bogdanovic Present in the books for two more seasons; And the DeAndre Hunter Eligible to extend the entry-level range this summer. The roster became expensive, and after obtaining Murray’s All-Star guard, one Hurter or Bogdanovich became expendable, through no fault of their own.

Bogdanovic is an overall better player than Huerter and more used to sitting on the bench, both positives for Atlanta. However, he came out of knee surgery, is much older (he’ll turn 30 next month), and makes more money in the next two seasons than Huerter, so the Hawks probably didn’t get the kind of commercial package they wanted for him.

Holiday and Harkless, both on expired contracts, will make $10.86 million on 22/23, saving the Hawks $3.64 million after transferring Huerter’s $14.5 million salary. Keep in mind that by acquiring single player players, the Hawks also don’t have to fill a spot on the second roster – even the minimum salary deal carries $1,836,090, so the actual savings in the deal is closer to 5.48 million dollars when with that in mind.

Of the two newly acquired veterans, I would expect Holiday to provide more value on the field and get more playtime – it’s much better than Harkless’s outdoor shooting (36.5% career out of three at much higher volume vs. 32.0%), And I’m sure the Hawks would like to give 2021 their first roundabout Jalen Johnson More NBA playing time in the reserve powerhouse next season.

Both Holiday and Harkless are well-traveled veterans with a defense first reputation. The holiday, in particular, provided solid value during his career with the Pacers from 2019 to 21. His defense wasn’t as sharp last season and his shot may have been inconsistent, but he’s definitely a rebounding candidate with all the open appearances he’ll have on his second assignment in Atlanta.

However, while the duo shouldn’t be discounted, the main appeal of the Falcons in their trade with Sacramento was to forgo Huerter’s long-term salary and get a 2024 first-round pick.

There’s no guarantee the selection will pass in two years, of course — the Kings have missed the playoffs in 16 consecutive NBA seasons, so the fact that he’s protected by the lottery may not bode well for Atlanta. However, Sacramento’s roster looks a little better on paper going into next season, especially in attack, and the club will have another year to continue making promotions before the selection goes.

If transferred in 2024, both teams would be happy – the Hawks would pick another first player, take back some draft capital after dealing with three first-round picks (two unprotected) and swap San Antonio’s pick for Murray, while the Kings finally broke their subsequent drought .

If they don’t transfer in 2024, there’s still a good chance the Hawks can get the selection in 2025 (top 12 protected) or 2026 (top 10 protected). This may in fact be their preferred scenario, as the first unprotected pick traded with Tottenham will be for 2025, and San Antonio swap rights in 2026.

The West is stacked, so post-season berth is certainly not a given, but the Kings have some interesting pieces, and they’re mostly young. There are realistic scenarios in which they improve over time and make either the tournament or the playoffs. Murray could be the wild card, because if he’s as NBA ready as he looks, he could be a game changer.

In general, Huerter’s trade was an understandable deal for both sides. The Kings got a young, decent rookie on contract for another four years and tackled some weaknesses on the roster, and they shielded the first player they tackled away so hopefully they don’t come back to bite them.

The Hawks liquidated the long-term funds and avoided taxes, secured a low-purchase holiday filter, a Harkless veteran presence, and reclaimed a bit of draft capital after giving away a large sum to Murray.